500万彩票

 
 


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16mnc无缝管行业频繁限产究竟为哪般?

浏览次数:42 次 发布日期:2018-10-12 14:02:54 信息来源:山东省龙川钢管制造有限公司|http://idamumbai.com
 
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标签: 16mnc无缝管

16mncWUFENGGUANXINGYEPINFANXIANCHANJIUJINGWEINABAN?


500万彩票上月份16mnc无缝管社会库存连续四周保持下降态势,9月末螺纹社会库存降至447.55万吨,仅为今年年初峰值的41.3%,主要建筑钢材生产企业的螺纹钢库存171.56万吨,也处于历史同期低位,同比去年下降27.8%。

 为何在传统淡季16mnc无缝管500万彩票市场会一反常态?我们认为有以下三点原因:

500万彩票  (1)GUONEIJINGJIZONGTIYUNXINGWENDING,XIAYOUJIJIANSUIMINGXIANWEISUO,DANFANGDICHANKAIGONGWENZHONGYOUZENG,ZHONGDUANXUQIUBIAOXIANLIANGHAO;

  (2)ZHANGQILAIKAN,ZAIZHONGMEIMAOYIZHANDEYALIZHIXIAZHENGCEKAISHIZHUANXIANG,GAOCENGZHONGTIKUODANEIXU,JIADAJICHUJIANSHEBUDUANBAN,YIGENGJIJIDECAIZHENGHEHUOBIZHENGCEWENDINGGUONEIJINGJI、DUICHONGWAIJIEFENGXIAN,JIJIANYOUWANGCHUDIFANDAN,SHICHANGDUIGUONEIHONGGUANDEYUQIYEZHONGSHILEGUAN;

  (3)ZAI“LANTIANBAOWEIZHAN”DEQIZHIZHIXIA,GANGTIEXINGYEDEHUANBAOZHENGZHIYUYANYULIE,7YUECHUTANGSHANSHIZHENGFUFABU《TANGSHANSHIGANGTIE、JIAOHUACHAODIPAIFANGHERANMEIDIANCHANGSHENDUJIANPAISHISHIFANGAN》,CIHOUYIGEYUENEITANGSHANGEJIZHENGFUDANWEIFABUXIANCHANXIANGGUANZHENGCEGAODA12CI,TANGSHANSHENGTIEGONGYINGDAFUSUOJIAN,GANGPIJIAGESHANGZHANGZHIJIETUIGAOLECHENGCAIJIAGE。

500万彩票  HAOWUYIWEN,ZHEIXIEYANHUALIAOLUANDEXIANCHANTONGZHISHICILUNGANGCAISHANGZHANGDEZHONGYAOTUISHOU,SUIRANMEICIXIANCHANDOUSHIYIHUANBAOWEIMING,DANMEICIZHENGCEDEJUTIMUBIAOHEZHIXINGBUJINXIANGTONG,ZAICIWOMENDUIJINQIDEGEXIANGXIANCHANZHENGCEJINXINGLESHULIHETAOLUN。

  ER、BUDABIAOJIUXIANCHAN

  SO2、NO2、COWURANJIANPAIGONGJIANZHAN

  这一轮限产中对16mnc无缝管市场影响最深远的毫无疑问是唐山的污染减排攻坚战,7月4日,唐山市政府发布《唐山市钢铁、焦化超低排放和燃煤电厂深度减排实施方案》,提出境内的钢铁企业将执行超低排放标准,设备改造截止时间为2018年10月,按期不达标将停产整治,由于改造难度大、改造时间紧迫,一时间市场哗然、限产的传言四起,7月11日唐山市政府正式发布《关于开展SO2、NO2、CO污染减排攻坚行动的通知》,明确政策目标和行动计划,此后下辖的各区县相继公布具体实施方案,长达42天的大规模限产正式拉开序幕。

  2.1 SHAOJIESHIGANGTIECHANYEWURANWUPAIFANGZUIZHUYAODEHUANJIE

500万彩票  ZAITANGSHANCICICHUTAIDEGANGTIEXINGYECHAODIPAIFANGBIAOZHUNZHONG,ZHENGCEZHIZHISHAOJIEHUANJIE,ERZAITANGSHANGEQUXIANGONGBUDEJUTIXIANCHANFANGANZHONG,SHAOJIEJIXIANCHANLIDUYEMINGXIANDAYUGAOLU,SHAOJIEJIHESHULUDEXIANCHANBILIPUBIANYAOQIUZAI50%,ERGAOLUXIANCHANDEDANXINGZEBIJIAODA,ZAI20-50%ZHIJIANFUDONG。

  GANGTIESHENGCHANDEGEGEGONGXUDOUSHEJIDAOWURANWUPAIFANG,DANSHAOJIE/QIUTUANGONGXUDEWURANWUPAIFANGSHIZUIWEIYANZHONGDE,JUXIANGGUANSHUJUTONGJI,ZHENGGEGANGTIESHENGCHANLIUCHENGSHAOJIEGONGXUDEFENCHENPAIFANGZHANZONGLIANGDE35.4%、SO2PAIFANGZHAN67%、DANYANGHUAWUPAIFANGZHAN51.1%。QIUTUANGONGXUDEWURANWUPAIFANGZHONGFENCHENPAIFANGZHAN5.2%;SO2PAIFANGZHAN20.1%;DANYANGHUAWUPAIFANGZHAN10.4%。ZAIGEXIANGXIANCHANZHENGCEZHONGJINGCHANGTIJISHIHUIYAO、SHAOJIEJIJIUSHITIEKUANG(507, -5.00, -0.98%)SHISHAOJIEZHONGSHIYONGDESHEBEI,ERSHULUSHIQIUTUANGONGXUDEZHUYAOSHENGCHANSHEBEI。

500万彩票  2.2 GANGTIEXINGYECHAODIPAIFANGGAIZAONANDUFEICHANGDA

  GENJUTANGSHANSHIZHENGFUDEYAOQIU,2018NIAN10YUEDIQIAN,QUANSHISUOYOUGANGTIEQIYE(HANDULIQIUTUAN、GAOLUZHUZAOQIYE)QUANBUDADAOCHAODIPAIFANGSHUIPING(XIANZHICANZHAOYANSHOUBIAOZHUN,TONGGUO168XIAOSHIYUNXINGQIEDISANFANGJIANCEDABIAO,95%YISHANGXIAOSHIJUNZHIPAIFANGDABIAO,XIATONG),BINGWANCHENGSHIYANQITUOBAIZHILI,FANDABUDAOBIAOZHUNDESHISHITINGCHANZHENGZHI。

  事实上对绝大多数无缝管500万彩票企业来说,要达到上述目标十分困难。从技术角度讲,目前脱硫及除尘的工艺已经十分成熟,能够实现超低排放相应的指标,在技术路线上也有很多的选择,最大的难点在于脱硝。据相关专业人士介绍,电力行业的烟气脱氮工艺中,炉膛内可通过低氮燃烧技术改造等有效控制NOx生成,燃烧后炉膛出口气体温度处在850℃~1100℃区间,适合脱硝反应的“温度窗口”时,可通过SNCR(选择性非催化还原法)脱除。若还不满足相应指标要求,还可在后段300℃~400℃温度区间选择SCR(选择性催化还原法)增加催化剂的办法再做进一步脱除。但在烧结和球团工艺中基本上没有这两个合适的温度区间,现在有个别案例对烟气脱硫除尘之后,把原本降到几十度的烟气再升温到300~400℃,所带来的能耗和运行费用提升都很大,相应的装备投入成本和占地等也都是问题。此前只有宝钢梅山钢铁的烧结机烟气排放可以实现超低排放标准,最近据媒体跟踪报道,唐山也仅德龙钢铁及燕山钢铁的烧结机可以达标排放。

  CONGSHIJIANJIAODUKAN,TANGSHANCHAODIPAIFANGGAIZAODESHIJIANYESHISHIFENJINPODE,GENJUSHENGTAIHUANJINGBUCHUTAIDE《GANGTIEGONGYEDAQIWURANWUCHAODIPAIFANGBIAOZHUN》(ZHENGQIUYIJIANGAO),YAOQIUDAO2020NIAN10YUEDIQIAN,JINGJINJIJIZHOUBIANQUANMIANWANCHENGGAIZAO,DANZHEICIDEGAIZAOZHIJIEBASHIJIANTIQIANDAOLE2018NIAN10YUE,DABUFENQIYECUOSHOUBUJI。JUXIANGGUANZHUANYERENSHIJIESHAO,SHAOJIEJIHUANBAOSHEBEIGAIZAODESHIGONGZHOUQIZHISHAO6~8GEYUE,RUGUOBASHEJISHIJIANKAOLVZAINEICHABUDUOXUYAO10GEYUESHIJIAN。ERSHENGTAIHUANJINGBUZHENGSHIGONGBUCHAODIPAIFANGBIAOZHUNSHIZAIJINNIAN4YUEFEN,NEIMEDAOJINNIAN10YUEFENYEZHIYOU6GEYUESHIJIAN,DUIYUQIANQIHAOWUZHUNBEIDEQIYEERYAN,ZHEIJIBENSHANGSHIBUKENENGWANCHENGDERENWU。

  CONGCHENGBENDEJIAODUKAN,ZHIXINGCHAODIPAIFANGGAIZAOYESHIYIXIANGJUDADEGONGCHENG,DUIYUQIANQIHUANBAOTOUZIDAOWEI、ZHIXINGGAOBIAOZHUNPAIFANGDEQIYEERYAN,YALIXIANGDUIJIAOXIAO,MUQIANYIJINGWENDINGYUNYINGDEMEIGANG180m2DESHAOJIEJIHUANBAOSHEBEITOUZIWEI6000WANYUAN,ERDUIYUYIQIAN“CUFANGSHI”PAIFANGDEQIYE,SHAOJIEJIDEHUANBAOSHEBEITOUZIGAODA80WAN/m2,NEIME180m2DESHAOJIEJIGAIZAOCHENGBENJIANGDADAO1.44YI。

  MUQIANTANGSHANSHENGTIECHANNENG13678WANDUN,CICISHIJISHOUXIANCHANYINGXIANGDESHENGTIECHANNENGJIN5183WANDUN(ANGONGXINBUCHANNENGZHIHUANFANGANHESUAN),ZHENGGEXIANCHANQIJIANTANGSHANTIESHUIJIANSHAO219.49WANDUN,YINGXIANGRIJUNTIESHUICHANLIANG5.35WANDUN,MINGXIANDIYUCIQIANSHICHANGYUQIDEJIANSHAOLIANG。YIFANGMIANSHIYOUYUCICIJIANPAIGONGJIANZHANDEZUIZHUYAOMUBIAOSHIWURANZUIDADESHAOJIEJIERFEIGAOLU,LINGYIFANGMIANZHENGCEYEBUZAI“YIDAOQIE”,BUFENWURANWUPAIFANGXIANGDUIJIAOHAODEQUYUHUOQIYE,ZAIGAOLUXIANCHANSHANGHUODEJIANMIAN。

500万彩票  ERCICITANGSHANWURANJIANPAIGONGJIANZHANYESHIFANGCHUYIXIEXINHAO:

  (1)16mnc无缝管行业超低排放标准的执行步伐将加快,在唐山之后预计其他重点区域的政府也将逐步出台相关政策;

500万彩票  (2)HUANBAOZHENGCEBUZAISHI“YIDAOQIE”ERSHI“CHAYIHUA”,WURANQINGKUANGYANZHONGDEQUYUHEQINGKUANGLIANGHAODEQUYUZHIXINGBUTONGDEXIANCHANBIAOZHUN,PAIFANGDABIAOHUOZHEFUHECHANYEZHENGCEDEQIYEJIANGBEIYOUDAI,ER“CUFANGSHI”HE“QIANZHAITAIDUO”DEQIYEJIANGMIANLINJUDATIAOZHAN。

500万彩票  SAN、GUANGRONGBANGHAISHIHEIMINGDAN

500万彩票  QUANGUOZHONGDIANCHENGSHIKONGQIZHILIANGPAIMING

  10月初,生态环境部公布了2018年6月和上半年(1-6月)空气质量状况,而唐山市在6月份的空气质量排名中位列倒数第一。10月12日,唐山市环保局发布通知:为进一步改善空气质量,改变唐山市空气污染指数重点城市排名倒数第一的现状,对全市范围内的所有烧结机、竖炉限产50%(完成脱硝治理的除外),唐钢、唐银各保留1座高炉;古冶、丰润、丰南、滦县、玉田无缝管企业高炉产能限50%;其他(迁安、迁西、遵化、滦南、乐亭)钢铁企业高炉产能限30%;限产时间自7月10日起至改变排名情况为止。

  CIWAI,ZHIDEZHUYIDESHIZAICICIGONGBUDEKONGQIZHILIANGGAISHANPAIMINGZHONG,CHANGZHOUSHIWEILIEDAOSHUDIYI,SUIHOUCHANGZHOUSHISUIRANMEIYOUMINGQUEBIAOSHIYAOYICIWEIYIJUJINXINGXIANCHAN,DANHAISHIFABULEYIZE《GUANYUDIAOZHENGCHANGZHOUSHIQIANGZHIJIANPAIZHONGDIANWURANYUANQINGDANDETONGZHI》,TONGZHINEISHEJIDEQIYEJIHUHANGAILEGANGTIE、ZHUZAO、HUAGONG、YIYAO、CAILIAO、JIANZHUDENGYOUPAIWUDEQIYE。KEJIANZHEICIDEPAIMINGJIDIFANGZHENGFUDAILAIDEYALIHAISHIHENDADE。

  NEIME“QUANGUOZHONGDIANCHENGSHIKONGQIZHILIANGPAIMING”JIUJINGSHISHENMEYANGYIFENBANGDAN,WEISHENMEHUIYOURUCIDADEYINGXIANGLI,WOMENCONGCIQIANHUANJINGSHENGTAIBUHUIYINGJIZHEWENZHONGZHAODAOLEDAAN。

  GENJUGUANFANGDESHUOFA,ZHEIXIANGPAIMINGDEMUDESHI:WEIGUANCHELUOSHI《DAYINGLANTIANBAOWEIZHANSANNIANXINGDONGJIHUA》YAOQIU,JIAQIANGSHEHUIJIANDU,TUIDONGDIFANGZHENGFUQIESHICAIQUCUOSHIGAISHANKONGQIZHILIANG,YOUXIAOXINGCHENGCHENGSHIJIANKONGQIZHILIANG“BI、GAN、CHAO”DELIANGHAOFENWEI,CHONGFENFAHUI“PAIMING”DUIDIFANGZHENGFUGAISHANHUANJINGKONGQIZHILIANGDE“DAOBI”ZUOYONG,CHUANDAOZHIWUYALI,CUJINXIETONGZHILI,WEITUIDONGQUANGUOKONGQIZHILIANGGAISHANHEDAQIWURANFANGZHIGONGZUOFAHUIJIJIXIAOYING。CONGYISHANGDEBIAOSHUSHUZHONGWOMENMINGXIANNENGKANDAO,JINXINGZHEIXIANGPAIMINGDECHUZHONGBENSHENJIUSHIWEILEJIDIFANGZHENGFUSHIYA,DUIYUPAIMINKAOHOUDECHENGSHI,ZHENGFUCHUYUWEIHUCHENGSHIXINGXIANGHEYINGDUISHANGJIKAOHEDEMUDE,BIRANHUICHUTAIZHENGGAICUOSHI。

  JINNIAN7YUEGONGBUDEPAIMING,YUYIWANGZUIDADEQUBIESHIPAIMINGDUIXIANGYOUCIQIANDE74CHENGSHIKUODADAO169CHENGSHI,ERQUANGUODISHIJIDANWEIYIGONG294GE,CICINARUPAIMINGDEZHANBIDA57.5%,JIBENHANGAIGUONEIZHUYAOGONGYECHENGSHI,DANGRANZHEIXIANGJUCUOYESHIWEILEXIANGYINGGUOWUYUANBANBUDE《DAYINGLANTIANBAOWEIZHANSANNIANXINGDONGJIHUA》DEYAOQIU。ZHEI169GEDIJICHENGSHIZHONG,JINGJINJIJIZHOUBIANDIQUGONG55GE,ZHANGSANJIAODIQUGONG41GE,FENWEIPINGYUANGONG11GE,CHENGYUDIQUGONG16GE,ZHANGJIANGZHONGYOUCHENGSHIQUNGONG22GE,ZHUSANJIAOQUYUGONG9GE,YIJIQITASHENGHUICHENGSHIHEJIHUADANLIESHIGONG15GE。

500万彩票  SHENGTAIHUANJINGBUDEPAIMINGYIJUSHIHUANJINGKONGQIZHILIANGZONGHEZHISHU(AQI),GAIZHISHUSHICANYUPINGJIADEGEXIANGWURANWUDEDANXIANGZHILIANGZHISHUZHIHE,ZONGHEZHISHUYUEDABIAOMINGCHENGSHIKONGQIWURANCHENGDUYUEZHONG。CANYUPINGJIADEWURANWUZHIBIAOSHI《HUANJINGKONGQIZHILIANGBIAOZHUN》(GB3095)ZHONGGUIDINGDE6GEJIBENXIANGMU:ERYANGHUALIU(SO2)、ERYANGHUADAN(NO2)、KEXIRUKELIWU(PM10)、CHOUYANG(O3)、YIYANGHUATAN(CO)、XIKELIWU(PM2.5)。QIANWENZHONGCHAODIPAIFANGBIAOZHUNZHONGDESANXIANGZHIBIAOSHIERYANGHUALIU(SO2)、ERYANGHUADAN(NO2)JIFENCHEN(KELIWU),JIANPAIGONGJIANZHANZHONGDESANXIANGZHIBIAOSHIERYANGHUALIU(SO2)、ERYANGHUADAN(NO2)、YIYANGHUATAN(CO),KEJIANGEXIANGZHENGCEDEZHIDINGDOUSHIYIMAIXIANGCHENGDE。


今年国内外的宏观环境复杂多变,中美贸易战如同一颗定时炸弹,充满不确定性,下游的基建和房地产也让人难以捉摸,传统淡季中总展示出超预期的韧性,那么进入旺季也可能没有预期强劲的表现。因此环保限产成为了唯一可以确定的逻辑,这时候迷茫的市场就如同抓到救命稻草一般,不断放大预期进而推高16mnc无缝管价格,等到预期被证伪,却发现周边已是一地鸡毛。当前成材盘面的情况,我们认为各种利好基本兑现,如果没有新一轮实质性利好的刺激,短期很难再走出趋势性的上涨行情,短线操作仍建议观望为主。

文章来源:http://idamumbai.com