500万彩票

 
 


更多联系我们

  • 公司销售电话:
  • 销售一部:0635-2993006
  •                  0635-2993005
  • 销售二部:0635-2998125
  •                  0635-2998124
  • 销售传真:0635-8884224
  • 手      机:13506350142
  • 联 系 人:王经理 孟经理 程经理
  • 公司地址:山东省聊城市经济开发区泰山路112号
  • 诚信为本,互惠互利.
 

四季度16mnd钢管市场波澜不惊

浏览次数:40 次 发布日期:2018-09-14 14:12:34 信息来源:山东省龙川钢管制造有限公司|http://idamumbai.com
 
分享到:
 
标签: 16mnd钢管

SIJIDU16mndGANGGUANSHICHANGBOLANBUJING


  今年前3季度,全国钢材市场供需两旺,16mnd钢管价格震荡扬升,继续新周期的升温态势。展望4季度市场形势,因为各项因素逐步明朗,心理预期稳定,预计将波澜不惊。

500万彩票1XIAOFEIXUQIUXIANGDUIPINGWEN,JIANGQIANQIANGHOURUO

JINNIANQIAN3JIDU,QUANGUOCUGANGBIAOGUANXIAOFEILIANGCHAOGUO6YIDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG5%YISHANG,ZENGZHANGSHITOUBUCUO。JINRU4JIDUHOU,YIFANGMIAN,GUOJIAWENTOUZI、WENZENGZHANGZHENGCELUXUCHUTAIBINGQIEXIAOYINGXIANXIAN, JIJIANTOUZIZENGSUHUISHENG,TONGSHIFANGDICHANTOUZICHAOCHUYUQI。JUYOUGUANZILIAO,JINRUXIABANNIANHOU,DIFANGZHENGFUZHUANXIANGZHAIFAXINGMINGXIANTISU。ANZHAOCAIZHENGBUYAOQIU,JINNIANXINZENGZHUANXIANGZHAIEDUWEI1.35WANYI YUAN,DAO9YUEDIYAOWANCHENGQUANBUEDUDE80%YISHANG,SHENGYUBUFENDADUOZAI10YUEWANCHENG。ZHEIXIEZIJIN,JIANGZHUYAOTOUXIANGJIJIANLINGYU。LINGYOUSHUJUXIANSHI:JINNIANQIAN7GEYUE,QUANGUOFANGWUSHIGONGMIANJI、FANGWUXINKAIGONGMIANJIHETUDIGOUZHIMIANJIZENGSUDOUCHENGXIANCHIXUHUISHENGTAISHI。SUOYOUZHEIXIE,DOUYOULIYUWENDINGGUONEIGANGCAIXUQIU。

LINGYIFANGMIAN,ZHUYAOYINWEIQIHOUYUANYIN,BEIFANGDIQUZHUBU JINRUSHIGONGDANJI,ZHISHIXUQIUYOUJIANRUOQUSHI。SHOUDAOSHANGSHULIANGGEFANGMIANDEDUICHONGYINGXIANG,YUJIJINNIAN4JIDUZHONGGUOGANGCAIZONGLIANGXUQIUBAOCHIPINGWENZENGZHANGGEJU:JIBUHUIDAFUZENGZHANG,YIBUHUIMINGXIANJIANRUO。YU JIQUANNIANZHONGGUOCUGANGBIAOGUANXIAOFEILIANGDADAOHUOZHEJIEJIN8.5YIDUN,ZENGFUCHAOGUO5%。RUGUOJIASHANGTONGQISHUQIANWANDUNDECUGANGCHUKOULIANG(GANGCAICHUKOUZHESUAN)YUSHANGNIANJIEZHUANKUCUN(GANGCAIDONGCHU)DEXIAOHUA LIANG,2018NIANZHONGGUOQUANBUCUGANGXUQIULIANGJIANGDADAO9YIDUN。

由于建筑施工因为天气逐步转冷影响,16mnd钢管市场实际消费的前强后弱,亦带动整体需求前强后弱格局。

2GONGYINGCEGANGTIESHENGCHANZENGSUFANGHUAN,QIANGNUZHIMOQUSHIXIANXIAN

500万彩票JINNIANQIAN3JIDU,QUANGUOCUGANGYUGANGCAICHANLIANGJIAODAFUDUZENGZHANG,YUJITONGBIZENGFUJUNZAI5%YISHANG,QUANNIANCUGANGTONGJICHANLIANGYIJIANGDADAO9YIDUN。

500万彩票ZAIDALIDUGANGTIEQUCHANNENGYUQUANMIANQUDI“DITIAOGANG”,CHANLIANGJICHUWEISUODEDABEIJINGZHIXIA,QUANGUOGANGCAIYUCUGANGCHANLIANGSUOYIHAINENGGOUJIAODAFUDUZENGZHANG,CHULELIRUNFENGHOUCIJI,GANGTIEQIYEGAOFUHESHENG CHANZHIWAI,HAIZAIYUGANGTIEQIYEYOUHUAJISHUSHOUDUAN,ZAIYELIANYUANLIAOZHONG,TIGAOGAOPINWEITIEKUANGSHIYUFEIGANGSHIYONGBILI,CONGERSHIDEDANWEISHEBEICHANCHULVDEYITIGAO。

QIYI,ZAISUOHUODEGONGKAISHUJUMEIYOUCHUXIANZHONGDASHIZHENDEQIANTIXIA,ZHONGGUOGANGTIECHANNENGLIYONGLVYIJINGHUODEHENDATIGAO,YINGGAIYIJINGDADAO85%,YOUXIEQIYESHENZHIZAI90%ZUOYOU,HUANYANZHI,16mndGANGGUANQIYEGONGYINGNENGLIKAISHIJIEJINSHANGXIAN。

QIER,ZHONGGUOGANGTIEHEGANGCAICHANLIANGDEJIAODAFUDUZENGZHANGKENENGYISHIQIANGNUZHIMO,YINWEICONGSHANGYIJIELUNKEYIKANCHU,SUIZHEPEILIAOQIANLIYUSHEBEIZHUBUMANFUHESHENGCHAN,JIYOUSHEBEIDECHANNENGWAQIANKONGJIANYIJINGBUDA。

JINQITONGJISHUJUYIXIANSHILEZHEIYIJIXIANG。JUZHONGGANGXIETONGJI,JINNIAN8YUEFEN,HUIYUANGANGCHANGCUGANGRIJUNCHANLIANGWEI192.47WANDUN,JUCITUISUAN,QUANGUOCUGANGRIJUNCHANLIANGWEI258.99WANDUN,JIAO7YUETONGQIXIAJIANG1.17%。JIBIANJINHOUQUANGUOCUGANGRIJUNCHANLIANGHAIYOUTIGAO,GUJIQIZENGZHANGKONGJIANYEBUSHIHENDA。

中国粗钢与钢材产量增速“强弩之末”的观点,是判断未来钢材市场供求关系的基石之一,对于预测今年4季度,乃至明年行情走势尤为重要。如果有关数据没有失真,上述钢铁产量增速“强弩之末”的观点能够成立,那么就可以预计今年4季度全国粗钢与钢材产量增长水平都将会出现回落,至少是不再提速,因此下一阶段中国16mnd钢管市场供应压力亦会相应减轻,或者是不会加重。
4季度因为天气原因,历来是铁腕环保的高压力时期。但是,同一“铁腕环保”尺度之下,却会因为中国南北气候差异不同,因为钢铁行业下游需求行业的生产工艺差异不同,而产生对于供需两端的不同影响,在整体上有利于平衡市场供求关系。

这种差异不同,其一体现为环保限产力度北方地区大于南方地区,而北方地区,尤其是华北地区其实中国钢铁产能最密集地区,因此环保限产对于钢管500万彩票行业的影响更大一些。而南方地区,室外施工并未停止,反而因为少雨而施工强度更高,一定程度上对冲北方地区施工减少。

其二体现为黑色系列产品污染明显大于汽车、家电、造船、电力、地下轨道交通等下游耗钢行业,因此前者所受抑制影响亦大于后者。主要因为消耗钢材的下游加 工行业,主要为室内加工,受天气影响不大,并且由于环保措施相对较好,环境污染程度远低于黑色商品行业,因此,在同一环保尺度之下,黑色行业产出受环保的 抑制影响远大于其消费行业。此外,一些赶工期的重点基建项目亦不会轻易停工等,因此环保对于钢铁供应侧的影响大于16mnd钢管需求侧影响,从而有利于供求关系平衡。

4ZHONGMEIMAOYIZHANJIMAOYITANPANJIEGUODUISHICHANGXINLICHONGJIBUDA

中美贸易战是今年影响16mnd钢管市场的最为重要的动态因素。中美贸易战中的中国策略,是“以拖待变”,寄希望于美国对中国2000亿商品加税后,刺激美国消费 品价格出现较大幅度上涨,引发美国民众对于特朗普的不满。因为2000亿美元的加征关税产品清单中,含有780亿美元的消费品。而在此之前的500亿美元 的加征关税商品清单中,只有37亿美元的消费品。没有疑问,2000亿美元商品加征关税后,美国普通民众将会增加痛苦。

CIWAI,TELANGPUJIAOLUANQUANQIUMAOYITIXIJICHANYEFENGONGTIXIHOU,ZUIZHONGYEHUIBOJIDAOMEIGUOZHIZAOYEZISHEN,BOJIDAOMEIGUODUIWAICHUKOU,BOJIDAOMEIGUOMAOYINICHA。ZHONGGUOZHENGZAIDENGDAIGAOGUANSHUIFAJIAOHOUDUIYUTELANGPUDECHONGJI。 ZUIXINSHUJUXIANSHI,TELANGPUSHISHIGAOGUANSHUIBILEIHOU,MEIGUOMAOYINICHAFANERKUODA,XIANSHILEZHEIYIJIXIANG。MEIGUOSHANGWUBUSHUJU:7YUEFENMEIGUODUIHUASHANGPINMAOYINICHADADAO368YIMEIYUAN,HUANBIZENGJIA 10%,CHUANGXIAXINGAO。BUJINRUCI,MEIGUOZHENGTIDUIWAIMAOYIYECHUXIANLECIZHONGQINGKUANG。YINCIHUIZENGJIAZHONGGUO“YITUODAIBIAN”DEXINXINYUJUEXIN。

500万彩票ERTELANGPUZEQITUEZHACHENGGONG, JIAZHIMEIGUOSHANGXIASHANGWEIKANDAOMAOYIZHANDUIYUMEIGUODESUNHAI,FANERSHIMEIGUOJINGJIZENGSUTIGAO,GUSHI“NIUQI”,ZANSHIDEDAOMEIGUOMINZHONGDEPUBIANZHICHI,SUOYIYEBUHUIQINGYIRANGBU。TELANGPUZUIJINTUIWENBIAO TAI:WOMENJIANGJIXUYUZHONGGUODUIHUA。WOMENZAIYUZHONGGUODETANPANZHONGZUODEFEICHANGHAO,DANWOMENBUZHUNBEIDACHENGTAMENXIANGYAODACHENGDEXIEYI。

500万彩票XIANJINZHONGMEIMAOYIZHANYIJINGYANBIANCHENGWEIYICHANG “SHEIBISHEIGENGTONGKU,SHEIBISHEIGENGNENGRENNAI”DEDABIPIN。KANSHEICHENGSHOUTONGKUZHISHUGENGQIANG,SHEINENGJIANCHIDAOZUIHOU。YINCI,ZHONGGUOMAOYIZHANDUANSHIQINEINANYIJIESHU。DUICI,GANGCAISHICHANGCANYUZHEMENYIJINGCHONGFEN DESIXIANGZHUNBEI,JINXINGLEFENGXIANYINGDUI,JIBIANMAOYITANPANBUCHENGGONG,GANGCAISHICHANGYEZAIYILIAOZHIZHONG,BUHUIXIANQIHENDABOLAN,BUHUIXINGCHENGXINDEZHONGDALIKONG。YAOSHIMAOYITANPANQUDECHENGGONG,GANGCAISHICHANGZEHUO DE“YIWAIZHIXI”,SHICHANGHUIYINCIXINGCHENGYIBOXIAOXINGQING,JINGUANKENENGXINGJIXIAO。

前段时期全国16mnd钢管价格出现一波跌落行情,这有利于释放利空压力。如果能够持续到今年9月中旬,跌落空间再大一些,那就为“金九银十”行情奠定了基础。但 是,由于钢材行情迫不及待地提前反弹,势必增加了“金九银十”行情的不确定性。如果钢材价格继续上涨,真正进入需求旺季后,钢材价格反而会出现回落,由于 库存压力不大,回调幅度也不会很深。


文章来源:http://idamumbai.com